The good news is that there are two polls out of Pennsylvania today, one of which is reasonably encouraging for Trump. Change Research, a Democratic firm, has the race within four points, 50/46. That’s the same margin they found when they polled the state two weeks ago. Despite all the hype about Trump’s debate performance and the fallout from his COVID diagnosis, he hasn’t lost ground there.
The second poll out today, from Monmouth, isn’t encouraging. Monmouth also had the race within four points when it polled Pennsylvania at the end of August. Today: Biden 54, Trump 42 among registered voters.
I agree with Ed that this morning’s CNN numbers showing Biden up 16 nationally was a “w-w-w-what?” outlier. I think today’s Monmouth poll is an outlier. I also believe that the NBC poll I wrote about yesterday morning showing Biden up nationally by 14 was an outlier.