Via the Free Beacon, you know the national outlook in November is grim when this dial tone is running neck and neck with a Republican in Kansas.
The last public poll published there was somewhat encouraging, putting GOPer Roger Marshall at 50 percent with a seven-point lead. But the internal polling that’s leaked lately has been ominous. A pro-Marshall Super PAC has him up just four points at 43/39 with lots and lots of undecideds and third-party voters up for grabs. A Democratic internal poll has Marshall trailing Barbara Bollier by two points, 45/43. That’s two separate surveys showing a Republican candidate sitting at 43 percent in a red state a month out from an election. And it’s not for lack of financial support: McConnell’s operation is shoveling $7.2 million at Marshall this month. The race is close enough, though, that one Democratic Super PAC is willing to match him. They’re putting $7.5 million in.
I wonder if the hard feelings from Marshall’s bitter primary victory over populist favorite Kris Kobach are hurting him now. Maybe Kobach fans are refusing to answer the bell for the establishment favorite after McConnell’s team went nuclear on their guy this past summer.