From tonight’s monster 33-page omnibus poll, the “new politics” halo is officially off. Note the trend:
McCain does almost as badly at 46/49 but then McCain’s not supposed to be a “Lightworker.” It doesn’t end there, either:
His flip-flopping’s penetrated the public consciousness, in other words, but it’s still unclear how much it’s hurt him. For the optimistic view, read this Byron York post quoting a Democratic source on the damage done to Obama’s brand. (Sample quote: “If McCain can turn him into a politician, Obama has lost his advantage.”) On the other hand, while his lead over McCain is five points less than it was two months ago, a plurality actually supports his reversal on public financing and there’s a huge gap in the question of who’ll bring “real change” to Washington. For Obama the “would/would not” breakdown is 58/35; for McCain it’s … 28/65. And then there’s this:
The enthusiasm gap between the two also remains, although if you add “satisfied” to “enthusiastic” Obama’s lead now is only seven points, 62/55. Most of the rest of the poll is devoted to racial differences, both in the context of the election and not. For example, Obama’s favorable rating among whites is 31/37; among blacks it’s 83/2. Michelle Obama’s favorable rating among whites is 24/19; among blacks, 58/1. There are racial disparities on the patriotism and C-in-C questions too, predictably, although McCain leads comfortably in both overall, by 36 points in the category of “very patriotic” and by 20 points on whether it’s “very likely” or “somewhat likely” that he’d be an effective commander-in-chief.
As for this, you tell me:
78% of Hispanics say the issue’s “serious,” but of course that doesn’t indicate what solution they prefer. For a hint at that, compare the numbers among Hispanic voters on the question of which candidate they have more confidence in to handle the issue: 72% have at least “some” in Obama versus 55% in McCain.
Exit question: How to explain this result, with so many overstating the size of the black population? Is it a function of blacks’ cultural influence leading people to think the community itself is bigger than it is?