Nancy Pelosi is getting cocky:

Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) said Wednesday that strong evidence of a gender-based support disparity between Republicans and Democrats makes her feel “better” about the chances for Democrats to retake the House in November.

Pelosi ranked the chances as better than 50-50.

“I’ve always felt good about it,” she said Wednesday in San Francisco, according to theSan Francisco Chronicle. “But now I feel better.”

What specifically inspired Pelosi’s newfound confidence? She thinks Mitt Romney is overstating his case when he says that women have been disproportionately negatively affected by the Obama economy. (Oh yeah, and she thinks voters won’t like it that Republicans want to “slash funding for Medicare, health care and contraceptives.) Did Mitt Romney overstate the case, though? The San Francisco Chronicle, which first reported Pelosi’s chipper attitude toward the upcoming elections, misreported one of Romney’s claims. According to the Chronicle, Romney said that women constituted 92.3 percent of the current unemployed. In fact, Romney said that 92.3 percent of jobs lost under Obama were lost by women. There’s a difference. Even after PolitiFact rated that statement “mostly false,” the Romney camp still specifically insists it’s true. I’ve read both the PolitiFact account and the Romney camp’s response to PolitiFact’s rating and, not surprisingly, I stand with Romney on this one. Honestly, the figure itself is somewhat immaterial: The point is, Obama can talk a big talk on “women and the economy,” but the economy is the same for both men and women — and, under Obama, it has been lousy. The brief bits of good news we had early this year have since been overshadowed by last month’s poor jobs growth and other indicators of a still-weak economy.

By all means, let Pelosi feel confident. Maybe then she won’t work as hard as she’d need to to really engineer a comeback in the House — but I’m not too worried. Pelosi predicted the Supreme Court wouldn’t take seriously questions of Obamacare’s constitutionality, too …

(H/t Erika Johnsen)