Nate Silver

Nate Silver Wonders: Why Is This Man Still Around?
Ed Morrissey 8:40 PM | November 20, 2024
Nate Silver Says ... Who Knows?
Ed Morrissey 1:20 PM | November 05, 2024
All Eyez on MI: Is Trump Ahead In the Bluest 'Wall' State?
Ed Morrissey 11:20 AM | October 28, 2024
Nate Silver: It's a 50-50 Race but My Gut Says Trump
John Sexton 3:30 PM | October 23, 2024
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Nate Silver: 20, 20, 20 Shows The Race Changing (Update)
Ed Morrissey 11:20 AM | October 16, 2024
Nate Silver: Don't Buy the Hype. Trump is Still Winning
Jazz Shaw 8:50 AM | July 31, 2024
Nate Silver: This Election Isn't a Toss-Up Anymore
John Sexton 1:30 PM | June 27, 2024
GroceryGate: The Price of Chicken Soup Gets Debated on X
John Sexton 4:00 PM | December 14, 2023
Nate Silver: Republicans now favored to win the Senate
John Sexton 4:00 PM | November 02, 2022
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Nate Silver: Senate control looks like an even bet to me
John Sexton 7:20 PM | October 21, 2022
Vox: Will the polls be wrong again this year?
John Sexton 1:24 PM | September 23, 2022
Two new forecasts: Democrats favored to hold the Senate?
Allahpundit 8:01 PM | July 27, 2022
Large UK study: Actually, the vaccinated don't have viral loads as high as the unvaccinated when they're infected
Allahpundit 2:01 PM | August 04, 2021
Here it is: The actual data on which the CDC's new mask guidance is based
Allahpundit 4:41 PM | July 30, 2021
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Why does the U.S. have fewer COVID cases now than the CDC's model projected last month?
Allahpundit 7:03 PM | June 07, 2021
Biden COVID transition advisor: Look, just trust the experts about whether pausing J&J was the right decision
Allahpundit 11:32 AM | April 14, 2021
The obligatory "how 'bout that Iowa poll" post, plus a bunch of other polls
Allahpundit 2:01 PM | November 01, 2020
Are late-arriving mail-in ballots more likely to come from ... Republicans?
Allahpundit 7:21 PM | October 30, 2020
Frank Luntz: If the polls are wrong again this time, my profession is finished
Allahpundit 1:31 PM | October 23, 2020
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Report: Trump campaign thinks chances of winning North Carolina have "all but evaporated"
Allahpundit 3:31 PM | October 19, 2020
FiveThirtyEight debuts election forecast: Trump has the same chance of winning now as he did in November 2016
Allahpundit 11:31 AM | August 12, 2020
Nate Silver: Yes, Trump can still win this race
Allahpundit 3:31 PM | July 26, 2020
Uh oh: Bloomberg starting to collapse in polling?
Allahpundit 11:21 AM | February 26, 2020
Bernie now projected to have an all but insurmountable delegate lead after Super Tuesday
Allahpundit 1:31 PM | February 19, 2020
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Trump: The fact that only 25% want me impeached is pretty good given the scope of this witch hunt; Update: 51% want removal, says ... Fox News
Allahpundit 7:31 PM | October 09, 2019
Trump: 2020 polls are fake news, you know
Ed Morrissey 9:21 PM | June 12, 2019
Forecast: GOP now more likely to have *at least* 54 Senate seats next year than to lose its majority
Allahpundit 10:01 PM | October 17, 2018
NY Times: Maybe the Comey letter didn't determine the outcome of the election
John Sexton 9:21 PM | May 08, 2017
Pollster probe: Naah, Comey didn't cost Hillary the election
Ed Morrissey 12:41 PM | May 05, 2017
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Trump staffer on campaign's private polling: “Nate Silver’s results have been similar to ours”
Allahpundit 11:31 AM | October 27, 2016
Obama campaign manager David Plouffe: Hillary still has a 100% chance of winning this election
Allahpundit 11:21 AM | September 26, 2016
Nate Silver ponders how he got Trump so wrong
Jazz Shaw 4:01 PM | May 18, 2016
Shocker: Dems suddenly concerned with slow, unresponsive coronation candidate
Ed Morrissey 2:01 PM | September 17, 2015
Nate Silver: No, the Democrats don’t have a lock on an Electoral College majority
Noah Rothman 8:41 PM | May 12, 2015
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Nate Silver, David Axelrod agree: Yes, there is a crisis in polling
Ed Morrissey 12:41 PM | May 08, 2015
Nate Silver: Chris Christie is unlikely to be the GOP’s 2016 nominee
Noah Rothman 3:21 PM | January 07, 2015
Nate Silver: Are Democrats disadvantaged by (gasp) skewed polls?
Noah Rothman 10:41 AM | October 15, 2014
Election forecasters bearish on GOP? Senate models looking more Democratic by the day
Noah Rothman 7:01 PM | September 16, 2014
Nate Silver warns the political class that it could still be a GOP wave year
Noah Rothman 1:21 PM | August 04, 2014
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Uh oh: 60% of Intel employees who donated in Prop 8 debate supported banning gay marriage
Allahpundit 6:01 PM | April 04, 2014
Damage control: Dem leaders scramble after Nate Silver picks GOP to retake the Senate
Allahpundit 4:01 PM | March 24, 2014
FiveThirtyEight: GOP now has a better than 50% chance of retaking Senate
Jazz Shaw 5:01 PM | March 23, 2014
Open thread: Sunday morning talking heads
Ed Morrissey 8:01 AM | March 23, 2014
What can we really learn from the 2012 polls?
Karl 6:51 PM | November 12, 2012
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Polling science, art and witchcraft Pt. 2
Jazz Shaw 10:01 AM | November 10, 2012
RCP poll averages predicted 49 of 50 states
Allahpundit 3:22 PM | November 07, 2012
New Pew poll: Obama wins by 10 if Democrats lead in turnout this year by, um, 19 points
Allahpundit 9:57 PM | August 02, 2012
Oh my: Walker 54, Barrett 42 in Wisconsin
Allahpundit 4:41 PM | May 24, 2012
The poll to watch right now
Karl 10:15 PM | April 23, 2012