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Too Good to Fact-Check: Everything's Settled!

AP Photo/Evan Vucci

When I first heard this on Ben Shapiro's show last week, I was a little excited:  


According to a report in Israel HaYom (an Israeli news paper financed by Sheldon Adelson), President Trump, Prime Minister Netanyahu, Secretary of State Rubio and Israeli Strategic Affairs minister Ron Dermer met on a phone call in the immediate wake of the US bomber strike on nuclear targets in Iran.  

And according to the report, they solved a lot.  

No - a lot:

They reached consensus on these fundamental principles in general terms. They plan rapid implementation, beginning with Gaza warfare termination.

  1. Gaza hostilities will conclude within two weeks, ending conditions will encompass four Arab nations (including Egypt and the United Arab Emirates) to administer the Gaza Strip, replacing the murderous Hamas terrorist organization. The remaining Hamas leadership will face exile to other countries, while the hostages gain freedom.
  2. Multiple nations globally will accept numerous Gaza inhabitants seeking emigration.
  3. Abraham Accords expansion will bring Syria, Saudi Arabia, and additional Arab and Muslim countries to recognize Israel and establish official relationships.
  4. Israel will declare its willingness for future Palestinian conflict resolution under the "two states" concept, contingent upon the Palestinian Authority reforms.
  5. The United States will acknowledge limited Israeli sovereignty implementation in Judea and Samaria.

Concurrently, two diplomatic sources informed Israel Hayom about substantial American presidential pressure on Prime Minister Netanyahu to conclude the Strip operations. Such pressure commenced prior to Operation Rising Lion and recommenced immediately following its completion. Nevertheless, an additional source indicated no awareness of such pressure.

And end to the Gaza war, involving Gazans having the right to emigrate, ejecting Hamas from power, gertting the hostages back, close the deal on the Abraham Accords, and dealing with the "Palestinian State" issue?

Sounds like a productive phone call.  

Now, axiomatically, if something seems too good to be true, it probably is.  

Some are skeptical, according to Times of Israel:

Netanyahu’s office denied the Israel Hayom report. “The conversation that’s described in the article in Israel Hayom did not take place,” it said. “Israel was not presented with the political proposal supposedly described in the article, and it obviously did not agree to it.”

Arab states have repeatedly asserted that they will not take part in the postwar rehabilitation of Gaza absent Israeli acquiescence to the Palestinian Authority gaining a foothold in the Strip as part of a pathway to a future two-state solution, a demand that, until now, Netanyahu has flatly rejected.

And maybe with good reason:

So what's the truth?

Like most truths in the world of diplomacy, probably somewhere in between "miraculous progress" and "depressing stalemate".   Again, according to Times of Israel:

Sources told The Times of Israel earlier this week that Jerusalem was holding off on sending a delegation until it was able to determine whether the war with Iran had influenced Hamas to soften its positions.

But a Palestinian source familiar with negotiations told Kan that Hamas was responding in kind and was refusing to dispatch senior Hamas official Khalil al-Hayya to the Cairo talks unless Israel sent a team as well.

Given the epochal events of this past three weeks, it's may be hard to go back to the slow slog that characterizes most real negotiation and diplomacy - barring some other major disruption. 

Which, to be fair, both the Israelis and the US have been dealing out of lot of, lately. 

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