Poll: Trump even with Clinton nationally

A Reuters/Ipsos online poll released Wednesday shows Donald Trump closing the gap with likely voters nationally. Reuters reports this is looking like a sign of a “close fight” in the general election:

The results could signal a close fight between the two likely White House rivals as Americans make up their minds ahead of the Nov. 8 election to succeed Democratic President Barack Obama. As recently as last week, Clinton led Trump by around 13 points in the poll.

In the most recent survey, 41 percent of likely voters supported Clinton, the Democratic front-runner, and 40 percent backed Trump, with 19 percent not decided on either yet, according to the online poll of 1,289 people conducted from Friday to Tuesday. The poll had a credibility interval of about 3 percentage points.

The RCP average of polls shows Clinton with a 6.4% lead over Trump. However, that is down from the nearly 12 point lead Clinton had in March. A PPP poll released Tuesday (Democratic polling firm) had Clinton up 6 in a head-to-head match-up with 12% undecided.

There is also some reason to think the race is tightening in swing states. Quinnipiac released polls of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania Tuesday which showed all three states were very close. Clinton led Trump in Florida and Pennsylvania by 43% to 42 percent. In Ohio, Trump led Clinton 43% to 39 percent.

This 5-day rolling average provided by Reuters shows the shape of the race over the last three months. Hillary is the blue line and Trump the red one.

Reuters polling