National or in a particular state?
BREAKING: 🚨Marriage gap as big as gender gap.🚨
— Brad Wilcox (@BradWilcoxIFS) November 6, 2024
☑️ 11 percentage point gap in Harris support between married & unmarrieds.
✅ 11 percentage point gap in Harris support between men & women. pic.twitter.com/rVDv499anp
BREAKING: 🚨Marriage gap as big as gender gap.🚨
— Brad Wilcox (@BradWilcoxIFS) November 6, 2024
☑️ 11 percentage point gap in Harris support between married & unmarrieds.
✅ 11 percentage point gap in Harris support between men & women. pic.twitter.com/rVDv499anp
I'm watching ABC News and they just took a look at the numbers in Wisconsin. It's still early but as of now, Trump is slightly outperforming his numbers and Harris is down slightly. We'll see if that trend holds.
Trump is now officially favored in Wisconsin.
— Bonchie (@bonchieredstate) November 6, 2024
National needle up to 71% Trump.
Some signs Harris is underperforming in Wisconsin.
Kamala Harris is dramatically underperforming Joe Biden in critical Dane County in Wisconsin.
— Kyle Becker (@kylenabecker) November 6, 2024
This doesn’t look good for Kamala Harris pic.twitter.com/6KMuWDAeO6
Not to be a Debbie Downer, but Trump has to win one of those Blue Wall states now that NH and VA are off the table (or so we think). Even if he wins AZ and NV, this is the map if Harris holds the Blue Wall:
BREAKING: NYT is calling 71% chance for #TRUMP!#ElectionDay #Election2024 pic.twitter.com/KG4HWBBhWr
— Ben (@USMortality) November 6, 2024
Trump seems to be catching up a bit in PA now. Still a long way to go, but only 33% of the vote has been counted and reported, too.
.@Nate_Cohn: "Trump is doing much better than he did four years ago in Virginia, when he lost by 10 points. But there are very few places where he is running 10 points better than he did last time."https://t.co/7F6oT5sjJp
— Josh Kraushaar (@JoshKraushaar) November 6, 2024
I've been keeping my eye on these races because a couple of Ohio cities are trying to get the courts to undo the state's firearm preemption law. Feeling much better about the law remaining in place.
We don't pay enough attention to these races
We don't pay enough attention to these races
More good news out of Ohio.
Looks like Republicans will flip two seats and retain another one on the Ohio Supreme Court, bringing it to 6-1 R.
— John Doe (@fedjudges) November 6, 2024
I want Rachel Maddow clips!
Dr Alice and I were gonna take at peek at MSNBC and Ebola says, "Oh, God not yet. Do it when people are crying..."
BWAhahaha!
More good news out of Ohio.
Looks like Republicans will flip two seats and retain another one on the Ohio Supreme Court, bringing it to 6-1 R.
— John Doe (@fedjudges) November 6, 2024
Plywood salesmen in blue cities right now pic.twitter.com/SH8rYowAvr
— Not Jerome Powell (@alifarhat79) November 5, 2024
Dr Alice and I were gonna take at peek at MSNBC and Ebola says, "Oh, God not yet. Do it when people are crying..."
BWAhahaha!
Look at this as data, not predictive
NEW: @NBCNews Exit Poll in Wisconsin: Trump doubles Black support
— Dasha Burns (@DashaBurns) November 6, 2024
This year Trump is pulling about 20% of the Black vote, versus 78% for Harris. Four years ago, Trump won only about 8% of Black voters in the Badger State.
Do they need some ointment for that burn?
14 minutes ago, from NYT's Nate Cohn: "For the first time tonight, our estimates indicate that the race leans toward Mr. Trump."
Trump now at 69% chance of winning according to the NYT pic.twitter.com/kdGqHiHEqq
— a newsman (@a_newsman) November 6, 2024
yup. would have been the point when dems dive out the window.
Not decisive, but if Trump won it would be great.
Not decisive, but if Trump won it would be great.
alas. they called NH for Harris. i thought it would be the flipping point.
14 minutes ago, from NYT's Nate Cohn: "For the first time tonight, our estimates indicate that the race leans toward Mr. Trump."
NYT needles:
- WI: Even
- MI: 53% R
- PA: 55% R
- NV: 54% R
- AZ: 68% R
- NC, GA: 78% R
Still near coin flips, but good look.
NYT needles:
- WI: Even
- MI: 53% R
- PA: 55% R
- NV: 54% R
- AZ: 68% R
- NC, GA: 78% R
alas. they called NH for Harris. i thought it would be the flipping point.
AP hasn't called it yet.
Fox is calling NH for Harris
This is HUGE. It bodes well for Trump.
Decision Desk HQ projects Donald J. Trump wins the Presidential election in North Carolina.#DecisionMade: 9:22 PM EDT
— Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 6, 2024
Follow live results here:https://t.co/PZocSAoy3P pic.twitter.com/IcJ5Pro772
Fox called New Jersey, but it seemed a little too early to me.
Hmmm. No call in New Jersey yet either. Harris has an eight-point lead with 43% reporting.
Hmmm. No call in New Jersey yet either. Harris has an eight-point lead with 43% reporting.
Decision Desk HQ hasn't yet called the Senate race in Texas for Ted Cruz, but he's up 6.3 points over Allred at the moment, by nearly a half-million votes.
This is HUGE. It bodes well for Trump.
Decision Desk HQ projects Donald J. Trump wins the Presidential election in North Carolina.#DecisionMade: 9:22 PM EDT
— Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 6, 2024
Follow live results here:https://t.co/PZocSAoy3P pic.twitter.com/IcJ5Pro772