Reality check: Several allies who talk regularly to Trump told Axios they believe he’ll announce for 2024, but ultimately not make the run because of what one Republican close to Trump called “hurdles he has never before experienced.”

“I think he will have more trouble than he can begin to imagine,” the Republican said. “No one is going to let him have a free pass in the primary.”

“The only question left open is whether the media will give up their addiction to him or not — that will determine a great deal.”

When Axios asked if that was a reference more to political trouble, financial trouble or legal trouble, the person replied: “Yes.”