The first report is a new poll from Gallup that asks the fundamental question: “Does President Donald Trump deserve to be reelected?”

56 percent say “no.”

43 percent say “yes.”

That’s -13 for Trump. Only 1 percent of the sample had no opinion.

This is death for an incumbent. By comparison: In the same poll, 60 percent of respondents said that their member of Congress deserves reelection and only 35 percent say their member does not.

So get your head around that: On the two federal offices that every American can vote on two weeks from now, the average member of Congress is +25 on reelect; President Trump is -13.

There is no skew, no shyness, no conspiracy that can overcome numbers like that.