According to gamblers, Cuomo is currently the Democrat most likely to become president behind Joe Biden, with about a 3 percent chance of winning the White House in November. Slim odds, true, but by the time Bernie Sanders—a candidate with an actual campaign and delegates—dropped out of the race last Wednesday, Cuomo had already moved ahead of him…

Although the headline nominees haven’t changed much—”We’ve been locked in for quite some time now, as far as the betting is concerned, in a Trump vs. Biden contest,” says Alex Donohue, a political betting consultant for the online betting aggregator US-Bookies.com—the landscape of dark-horse bets around them has. Vice President Mike Pence, the head of Trump’s coronavirus task force, and Cuomo have seen their odds of a surprise inauguration jump, thanks to their airtime as some of the most public faces of America’s coronavirus response. Pence, on most major markets, is the No. 2 for the GOP presidential nomination. (His last big jump in the odds was last fall, at the beginning of Trump’s impeachment process.)

Then there are bets on the slim-chance characters like Hillary Clinton—“silly money,” says Paul Krishnamurty, a professional gambler and analyst at PoliticalGambler.com. The odds for Clinton, though low, have been fairly consistent since the fall. Krishanmurty says it’s not surprising to see at least a few bizarre bets on outlier candidates from people taking a chance on a huge payout.