The Iowa Democratic Party appears to have allotted state delegates by caucus in direct proportion to the turnout of each satellite caucus. So, if there are two caucuses and one has 60 caucusgoers and one has 10, the former will have six times as many state delegate equivalents as the latter…

But the Iowa Delegate Selection Plan to the Democratic National Committee, the exhaustive and official 78-page rule book that The New York Times used for its election night forecasting model, appears to allot state delegates by satellite caucus differently.

The delegate selection plan first awards state delegates to the satellite caucuses as a whole, but does not apportion them to individual precincts. In a subsequent section, it then appears to allocate state delegates to individual precincts based on county delegates…