Come on, we basically know how Iowa voted: Against Biden

But we shouldn’t pretend the results are a total mystery. From data reported by campaigns and media outlets, three things are pretty clear:

1) Joe Biden bombed, finishing a distant fourth
2) Bernie Sanders was at or near the top of the field
3) Pete Buttgieg outperformed the polls to finish at or near the top

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The large campaigns have precinct captains in nearly every precinct who call in results. The Sanders campaign released the all the results they had, coming from about 40% of precincts, and it showed–by all three counts–Sanders winning with nearly 30%, Buttigieg in second, Warren in third, and Biden way back in fourth. The Warren campaign said its numbers showed Biden also in a distant fourth. The Biden campaign hasn’t reported any results.

Nearly every reporter who reported results last night showed Biden underperforming. (In the two precincts I covered, Biden wasn’t viable, and actually had fewer supporters than Andrew Yang.)

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