Since Election Day 2016, we Republicans have been preoccupied with the question of Donald Trump: How did he win the nomination and the election? How pleased, ambivalent, or horrified are we by his standing as leader of the party and president of the country? What do we think of his various decisions, achievements, appointments, and tweets? The discussion of Donald Trump, though, has been almost entirely retrospective or contemporaneous.

All that changes on November 7, when the conversation becomes, in part at least, prospective. The question Republicans will have to begin considering becomes far less “Do you approve or disapprove of what Trump is doing?” It becomes instead “Do you want four more years of Trump?”

Clearly a chunk of the GOP primary electorate will answer that question yes. Trump has a loyal base. But polling—and the 2016 primaries—suggest there are as many reluctant Trump supporters or hesitant Trump approvers as there are enthusiasts. An April 15-17 YouGov survey found that 20 percent of adults strongly approve of Trump’s job performance and 18 percent somewhat approve. In SurveyMonkey’s most recent weekly tracking poll (April 12-18), 23 percent of adults strongly approved and 21 percent somewhat approved his performance. Historical data from both pollsters suggests that some of Trump’s supporters have been ambivalent about him since the beginning of his presidency.