In other words, it’s possible for a Republican to win in Michigan – and that Republican doesn’t necessarily have to fit the Trump mold. But the flip side of this is that there are two ways for Democrats to win: If black turnout had been higher, Hillary Clinton might have won despite losing many blue-collar voters, and Obama won enough blue-collar voters to comfortably carry the state despite Romney doing well with college-educated whites nationally. In other words, it might be hard for any Republican, regardless of style or strategy, to take either path in 2018.