Three states are nearly toss-ups. Trump has a one point lead in Ohio, Florida is tied, and Clinton has a two-point advantage in Pennsylvania (down from an 8 point lead in our most recent CBS Battleground poll conducted October 26-28). Clinton was ahead of Trump by three points in North Carolina in our poll last week for CBS. If Trump could win all four of these states, he would have a good chance of winning the election, but Clinton can lose three of these four and still have a good chance of accumulating the 270 electoral vote needed for victory.