My real point here – and I promise to stop banging my drum after this, at least for now – is that we have yet another example of the way that the Internet is breaking down for purposes of election analysis. If Marco Rubio were the nominee, we’d have gotten a thorough dissection of the internals of the polls, with conservatives arguing for the Maine result and liberals embracing the Texas result. Or, everyone would dismiss both.
Both sides dislike Trump, however, so the Texas poll has received the lion’s share of the attention. Perhaps this simply reflects the fact that Texas is significantly more important, from an electoral perspective, than Maine. Perhaps. But I fear that this is exactly the sort of asymmetric processing and reporting of information that we would expect when everyone is looking for reasons that Trump will lose.