The magnitude of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s defeat is surprising, perhaps even shocking. The fact his Fidesz party lost by a solid margin, however, should have surprised no one.
Orbán is widely derided by Western elites as an autocrat, and it is true that the state and most privately owned media are relentlessly supportive of him. But that’s never why Orbán was re-elected three times. He won because he did what every good democratic politician does: Provide peace and prosperity while respecting the nation’s values.
From 2010 through 2022, Hungary’s economy grew steadily, bringing comfort and some luxuries to the former Communist nation for the first time. The country did not get sucked into the nascent conflict in Ukraine and proudly refused to take in the any of the millions of mainly Middle Eastern migrants who swarmed into Europe in the last decade.
Those latter stances may have annoyed many other Western European leaders, but there is no evidence that average Hungarians wanted something different. Many current leaders probably wish their nations had been more like Orbán as they figure out how to deal with the growing internal unease over the migrants whom their predecessors let in.
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