NEW: National Poll Shows Trump Leading 49.5/47.0 on Full Ballot

Target population
Likely voters in the United States

Sample size
3,032 respondents

Methodology
Random Digital Recruitment (Atlas RDR)

Margin of error
±2 p.p.

Ed Morrissey

There are no other "excerpts" to pull here, so click over to see it yourself. A few notes, though I may write more about this tomorrow:

  • Sample here is R+3, about where Gallup sees party-ID this cycle.
  • Nate Silver considers Atlas Intel to be a high-quality pollster
  • The head-to-head result is 49.8/48.1 Trump
  • This shows Trump winning nearly 30% of the black vote ... which I would tend to treat skeptically. However, Harris wins just shy of 60% of Hispanics too, which seems high to me as well. Maybe it all washes out. 

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