In the eight-way race, Trump and Harris are in a dead heat in the polls. In a two-way race, which isn’t what is on the Michigan ballot, Trump has a one-point lead over Harris, according to Mitchell’s latest poll.

But, Mitchell said, polls about voters’ support for Trump can be skewed because “shy” voters won’t admit they’re voting for him, even through online polling platform SurveyMonkey.

One way to get around that hesitancy, he said, is to ask for whom most of the person’s “friends and neighbors” are voting.

“When we asked that question, by a 10-point margin, 46-36%, voters said that their friends and neighbors were voting for Donald Trump,” said Mitchell, who is not related to this correspondent. “That’s an indication that Trump may win Michigan, or is doing better in Michigan than the poll results.”