I can give you rational reasons why he should be favored to win, too, but why crib from Nate Silver’s work. The point is, he may not be sufficiently articulate, but he has become the surprising and unexpected champion of everyone around the globe who has had it with our conventional ruling elite of nearly all historic political parties. The old order is dying, and a new one is struggling to be born, against fierce opposition and long odds. And while I am fully aware of Trump’s many defects, our ruling class, our corrupt institutions, universities, government bureaus, and mass media, deserve to lose to him. I don’t care if he spends the next four years at Mar-a-Lago and hands over the executive branch to J.D. Vance. (Actually that’s not a bad idea.)

So let Trump be Trump. It’s what he’s best at. And he will win or lose as Donald Trump, and not some other kind of candidate everyone keeps trying to persuade him to be.