AMOC Collapse? Think Again—The Florida Current's Stability Defies Climate Predictions

A new Nature Communications paper titled "Florida Current Transport Observations Reveal Four Decades of Steady State" provides a long-term analysis of the Florida Current, a major component of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). Contrary to frequent claims in the media about a weakening AMOC due to climate change, the study finds that the Florida Current has remained steady over the past four decades. This directly contradicts alarmist narratives, which often highlight the imminent collapse of ocean currents as a result of global warming.

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The paper focuses on direct transport observations of the Florida Current from 1982 to 2022. The data shows no significant long-term trend, suggesting that the Florida Current's strength has remained stable over the 40-year period, despite projections that climate change would drastically weaken the AMOC. This finding is important because the AMOC, which transports warm water from the tropics to the North Atlantic, is often portrayed as on the brink of collapse in MSM. Such a collapse is frequently linked to catastrophic weather changes, including a deep freeze in Europe or more intense hurricanes in the Atlantic.

Past predictions regarding the weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) were flawed due to incomplete data and oversimplified models.

The Nature Communications paper specifically notes that early projections failed to account for complex seasonal and annual fluctuations in the Florida Current. Additionally, past measurements relied on electromagnetic data, which needed corrections for variations in the Earth's magnetic field. These inaccuracies, combined with sparse datasets, led to false assumptions about long-term trends. The paper’s 40-year analysis of direct observations reveals the stability of the Florida Current, contradicting prior predictions of weakening.

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