New Poll: Trump, Biden Tied ... in Virginia

President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are tied (42%-42%) in a head-to-head matchup in Virginia, while Biden holds a two-point lead (40%-38%) when other candidates are included, according to the Roanoke College Poll. The Institute for Policy and Opinion Research (IPOR) at Roanoke College interviewed 711 likely voters in Virginia between May 12 and May 21, 2024. The survey has a weighted margin of error of 4.24%. ...

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Respondents are more likely to view the Trump years as mostly good for the country (44% mostly good; 33% mostly bad), and they see the Biden years more negatively (25% mostly good; 47% mostly bad). Republicans are very enthusiastic about the Trump years (87% see them as mostly good), while half (50%) of Democrats think of Biden’s years as mostly good. About equal numbers of likely voters think Biden and Trump mostly tell the truth and mean what they say (37% for each) rather than just saying things to get elected (59% for Biden; 58% for Trump).  

Ed Morrissey

When was the last time a Republican won Virginia? Twenty years ago, when George W. Bush carried it, the last in a GOP streak dating back to 1964. If Virginia's becoming a battleground state, that does not bode well for Democrats at all. This is only one poll, of course, but Glenn Youngkin's success as governor may be turning the tide there even more than Biden's incompetence. 

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