Will a Conviction Hurt Trump's Electoral Chances?

The problem for those who are counting on a felony conviction in New York to derail Trump is that, to fair-minded people, the conviction would not stand for the proposition that Trump actually committed a genuine felony. Instead, it would stand only for the proposition that a bunch of Trump-hating Democrats (the prosecutor, who campaigned on the promise to prosecute Trump, and the jury drawn from the electorate that received this promise) decided, with a big assist from a Trump-hating judge, that Trump committed a felony that doesn’t seem like a felony.

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I’m not inclined to let my vote be influenced by the opinions and prejudices of Trump-hating New Yorkers. I doubt that voters in states like Michigan, Georgia, and Arizona are so inclined, either.

Ed Morrissey

I'm not quite so sure that this will have no impact. It recalculates matters for "double never" voters who nonetheless feel compelled to vote for one of the two major nominees, perhaps by reducing the number who actually will cast a vote at all. But I'm increasingly convinced that this is going to be an academic question, as I suspect the likeliest outcome in Manhattan is a hung jury. 

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