Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is the first third-party candidate in decades to pull in significant support in the polls. But which camp is he drawing the most support from? Is it Donald Trump or Joe Biden who has more to lose if Kennedy is able to get on state ballots?

Media headlines addressing the question are conflicting.

The New York Post: “RFK Jr. says he has enough signatures to make Texas ballot, potentially hurting Trump.”

NBC News: “RFK Jr. candidacy hurts Trump more than Biden, NBC News poll finds.”

Forbes: “RFK Jr. Pulls Support From These Key Biden Groups—And Could Sway Election Outcome, New Poll Shows.”

Politico: “How Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Could Doom Joe Biden.”