At first glance, it appears that state election laws in several key states would bar Haley from appearing on the ballot as a third-party presidential candidate, once she has lost the GOP primary. Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, Arkansas, and Alabama bar a candidate who has lost a presidential primary in one party from running for office as the nominee of another party. ...

But there will be debates about whether those state laws apply to presidential candidates, or just candidates for state office. There are those who argue that sore loser laws cannot apply to presidential elections, because the voter is not actually voting for the presidential candidate, but for the elector to the electoral college. This dispute would have to be sorted out by the Supreme Court, on a tight deadline before people start casting ballots for the 2024 election. In Minnesota and Virginia, early voting for the general election starts September 20.

Add up the electoral votes of the eight states listed above, and you’re at 131 electoral votes that would be out of reach for No Labels, including Haley’s home state, unless the Supreme Court struck down those sore loser laws.