Poll: Trump, Biden Tied in WI, But Haley Up 15

A new Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin finds the presumptive presidential race tied, with President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump each supported by 49% of registered voters. Among the somewhat smaller group who are considered likely voters, Trump is at 50% and Biden at 49%. ...

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In a head-to-head match between Biden and Republican candidate Nikki Haley, Haley continues to hold sizable advantage as the choice of 57% registered voters, compared to 41% who chose Biden. Among likely voters, Haley receives 57% and Biden 42%. In November, 53% of registered voters favored Haley compared to 44% who chose Biden.

Ed Morrissey

Either way, this poll is bad news for Biden. Clearly Haley does better than Trump in Wisconsin, but to get to a general election, a candidate has to win in the primaries -- and Haley's not coming close. Haley gets to the larger margin by performing better than Trump in all three partisan demos -- seven points better with Republican voters, 16 points better with independents, and six points better with Democrats. That provides some evidence for the argument that any other Republican would trounce Biden.

Even more interesting are the results for Biden-Trump-RFK race. Kennedy does better than you'd guess. 

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