GOP Leads Dems on NBC's Generic Congressional Ballot Poll

Ed Morrissey

As veteran observers are aware, that’s a significant lead in this polling type. Generally speaking, Democrats have to be at +4 or +5 to achieve a break-even point, thanks to the structure of the House and the urban bias in polling. A GOP +4 result signals a significant margin of victory in House races. This is just one poll, but the RCP aggregate average has Republicans up 2.4 points at the moment, too (with the NBC poll included).