Goodbye to Haley the Hawk

No, she hasn’t dropped out. But it’s abundantly clear from the New Hampshire primary results—54.5 percent for Donald Trump, 43.2 percent for Nikki Haley, at the time of publication—that she has no chance, and that Donald Trump is set up to secure the Republican presidential nomination. …

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Haley struggled to find her footing even in purple New Hampshire, which should’ve been an easier lift for her—though Trump repeatedly (and rightfully) attacked her for being a war hawk. It’s unclear what her plan for dropping out is, since she has truly no shot at winning Nevada and very little shot at performing well in South Carolina, her home state where she served as governor from 2011 to 2017. In that state, Trump is leading by about 30 points, so it’s really not even close.

[See my earlier thoughts on this, too. Haley has had eight months to make the case not just for a leadership switch (as DeSantis campaigned to provide) but a policy switch as well. The majority of the party wants neither, and the more Trump wins, the less likely other states will be to change their minds about it. Even if Trump dropped out, the party wants a conservo-populist agenda with less interventionism abroad and more focus on American security at home. — Ed]

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