But her campaign just hasn’t caught fire in the way that anti-Trump Republicans hoped it would. Optimistic analysts have been trying very hard to play on the historic unpredictability of New Hampshirites, and their more liberal independent instincts.

But New Hampshire doesn’t dislike Trump and the MAGA movement is strong here, as it is almost everywhere in America.

Haley’s team regarded a crowd of 150 at one of her events on Friday as a sign of “energy” and “excitement.” Donald Trump fills out stadia across the state and nobody bats an eyelid. “She’s going to be smoked,” said Chris Christie, in a hot mic moment as he announced his withdrawal from the race before Iowa. This seems to be truth that everyone knows and nobody is willing to say out.

The question, then, is when does she do what Ron DeSantis did yesterday: bow to the inevitable and pull out of the race?

[I didn’t think DeSantis would drop this soon, so take my prediction with a grain of salt. There’s no risk for continuing, and wouldn’t have been for DeSantis either. Haley’s probably not going to run for office again after this, given her age and how she decided to position herself on the out-of-favor wing of the GOP in this national campaign. She may as well burn through the rest of the cash on hand. However, if she thinks that Trump will dominate in her home state of South Carolina, she may want to spare herself some embarrassment. — Ed]