Final DMR Iowa Poll: Trump 48, Haley 20, DeSantis 16

Donald Trump retains a commanding lead in the final Des Moines Register/NBC News/Mediacom Iowa Poll before Monday’s caucuses, with Nikki Haley sliding past Ron DeSantis into second place.

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The former president is the first choice of 48% of likely Republican caucusgoers, while former United Nations Ambassador Haley is at 20% and Florida Gov. DeSantis drops to 16%. No other candidate reaches double digits.

[DMR is usually pretty good at polling for the caucuses. Other pollsters are usually useless, but DMR has a long track record of decently predictive polling — and it’s not as if this is close. The gap here is so wide that a Trump loss would be an absolute stunner. — Ed]

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