“Her fundraising is somewhat dried up,” Arizona GOP operative Barrett Marson told Politico. “There isn’t an independent donor base as there is a Republican donor base and a Democratic donor base.” …

Sinema has $10.8 million in the bank after raising $4.6 million in the first nine months of 2023 — most of that before she became an independent — but Gallego has raised nearly $10 million over the same time. Gallego is spending heavily now, holding about $5 million in his campaign account, Politico reported.

Sinema’s biggest 2018 donors have given Gallego $691,000 compared to just $277,000 for her, according to the analysis.

[I’m sure Sinema expected that to happen, but $10 million is a pretty good treasury for a Senate race in a state the size of Arizona. She should be competitive, and if Republicans nominate Kari Lake, Sinema will attract a number of moderate GOP voters in a general election — and maybe some of their donor cash, too. That could set her up for victory in 2024. After that, though, it would start getting a lot more difficult. — Ed]