Former President Donald Trump is looking to repeat his successful 2016 pathway to victory of scattering opposition among several opponents. As new entrants have emerged since our last survey in March, Trump has gained 5 points of support and now sits just shy of a majority with 47%. Meanwhile, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has seen his support erode 10 points to 19%. Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie is now in third place in the state followed by former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley, and South Carolina Governor Tim Scott.

[Is this a rally effect, or is this an effect of too many entrants in the not-Trump lane? St. Anselm is normally pretty reliable, and state-level polling matters a lot more than national polling, so this is worth watching. DeSantis’ ground game has yet to get in gear in New Hampshire, but he’d better accelerate its launch if it’s not already in place. — Ed]