Is this Ukraine’s much-vaunted Spring Counteroffensive? I rather doubt it, though a full-scale front collapse would likely draw a significant investment of Ukrainian forces here.

Rather, I think this is a fixing attack, one designed to force Russia to keep all currently assigned troops in this sector to avoid surrendering gains, making it impossible to relocate them to areas of the front where the main action will actually fall.

(via Instapundit)

[It might just be a collapse without any significant increase in pressure. We already know that the Russians have run out of armament, of well-trained troops, and morale has been a disaster for months. A collapse of discipline and a self-created rout from forward positions might not be unimaginable at this point. Jazz has more on the Ukraine side of the equation up already, and John will have more about the reports from Bakhmut up shortly. — Ed]