The Overton Window on abortion probably has not shifted

Cooke finds that numerous Gallup polls show far less public support for abortion limits before the first trimester. He says that is the polling data are correct, then the Dobbs decision has shifted the Overton window and public support for strong pro-life laws has significantly increased.

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Cooke might be correct. However, there is also a strong possibility that relatively high levels of support for a six-week abortion ban in this Wall Street Journal poll might be due to question wording. There is relatively little polling data on six-week abortion bans. However, the polling data that are available provide evidence that public support for a six-week ban fluctuates with question wording — specifically, with what sort of exceptions such a ban might include.

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