The mythological math and illogic behind the climate-collapse thesis

I repeat: to accept the Climate Collapse Thesis, we have to accept *everything* above.

Yet the interdependencies are staggering. It’s not just possible but probable that any one of these linkages will break. A humbler interpretation of climate change science and policy, far from being a conspiracy of denialists, turns out to be an imperative of reason.

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Let’s assume the Climate Collapse Thesis is a falsifiable theory. We can calculate the compounded uncertainty. Assuming that the relevant “experts” are 95 percent certain of each of the thirteen hypotheses above, compounding the uncertainty would not yield a result of 95 percent.

Not even close.

[The main problem with the climate-change theses is that their advocates work to make sure it’s never falsifiable. Drought? Climate change. Heavy rainfall? Climate change. Hurricanes? Climate change. No hurricanes? Climate change. It’s a belief system rather than an applied science. — Ed]

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