If – and this is a big if considering the first votes in the Republican primary are still ten months away – Trump clinches the GOP nomination, nearly every conservative pundit is quick to tell us he would ultimately lose the general election to President Joe Biden.

But what if the pundits are wrong?

Trump’s shocking victory in 2016 confounded even the most seasoned political thinkers among us. Hillary Clinton’s coronation was thought to be inevitable until election night, when strangely, one critical battleground state after another fell to the brash, uncouth real estate developer and reality TV star from Manhattan, the ultimate Washington outsider.

Biden is the single worst U.S. commander-in-chief in modern memory, eclipsing even former President Jimmy Carter for this unwanted distinction. Carter is a good man, but he was a terrible president whose missteps caused great harm to the country.