They believe, by a margin of 47 percent to 39 percent, that gas prices are down over $1.50 from their peak. But when asked if “gas prices are comparable to what they were when President Biden took office,” only 32 percent believe that claim, while 52 percent said they don’t believe it.

On the statement, “Annual inflation has been down for 6 months,” Biden has been able to convince only 22 percent of voters that he’s making progress, while 61 percent aren’t buying that inflation is on the way out.

We also tested one of Biden’s favorite claims, asking: “Under President Biden’s economic plan, the deficit has come down by a record $1.7 trillion.” Fifty-one percent of those surveyed didn’t believe the statement; only 25 percent did.

[Democrats have to be worried about this for a 2024 run too, especially if someone other than Trump gets the GOP nomination. Biden has survived on demagoguery, which has been true his entire career, but it becomes a lot more difficult if Biden has to change targets. That’s especially true while inflation continues to erode buying power in working- and middle-class households. — Ed]