My take: The appropriations changes sound good and potentially important; the one-vote motion to vacate sounds extreme, but it’s a return to the rule prior to its change by Nancy Pelosi, and a McCarthy speakership would be fragile regardless; the vote on terms limits is just symbolism; and the committee seats are classic horse-trading, but that might not sit well with the rest of the caucus.

The good news for McCarthy is that if he gets this deal done, his vote count will go up. The bad news is that he will probably still be short, and if that remains the case, the clock is ticking to the moment when some of his supporters begin to get exhausted and want to try finding an alternative.