Did a poll really name Trump as the biggest midterm loser?

Voters and Republican operatives alike are labeling former President Trump the biggest loser of the midterms, raising questions about his strength heading into 2024.

In a Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll survey released exclusively to The Hill on Monday, 20 percent of voters said Trump was the clear loser after the Nov. 8 elections, while 14 percent said “MAGA Republicans” were and 12 percent pointed to mainstream Republicans. Additionally, 15 percent said Democrats were the biggest losers, while 23 percent said they were unsure or didn’t know.

[I was going to write a post about this, but it’s too lame for a full-blown analysis. First off, we don’t know the size of the survey; The Hill doesn’t include any methodology at all in its report. Second, these outcomes are so close together that it’s basically a wash:

* 23% unsure
* 20% Trump
* 15% Democrats
* 14% “MAGA Republicans”
* 12% “mainstream Republicans”

It’s a margin-of-error soup based on a short-term reaction to the midterm disappointment. Whether or not one agrees with the outcome, it’s nonsense. — Ed]