It's pretty apparent from precinct-level data in VA and county-level data in FL that Democrats have a turnout problem today – one that's unlikely to be solved in the next six hours.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 8, 2022
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In recent years, R voters have generally enjoyed their largest turnout advantage in the first 2-3 hours of EDay voting. So, it's possible these gaps will narrow – and these are just two states.
But, these are just large differentials for Dems to overcome in the next few hours.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 8, 2022
[Warrerman’s a very competent election-data analyst, but early numbers like these can be deceiving. We’ll know more later tonight, when we see the overall turnout numbers. — Ed]
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