Senate Dems in real trouble in NV, AZ

We got our hands on some exclusive polling in two of the hottest states — Arizona and Nevada — from former Trump hand DAVID BOSSIE’s Citizens United, in collaboration with KELLYANNE CONWAY’s polling operation. The topline takeaway is that the Democratic Senate incumbents in each state are in jump-ball races. …

For the record: All of the matchups mentioned above fall well within the polls’ margins of error of plus-or-minus 4.4%. Each poll surveyed 501 registered likely voters in the respective states from Nov. 2-3. Each matchup also carries a significant number of undecided voters (ranging from 5% in the Arizona Senate race to 13% in the Arizona gubernatorial race).

But they generally track with the current polling in these contests. RealClearPolitics’ Arizona average finds Kelly with a +1 advantage (48.2% to 47.2%) and Lake at +1.8 (49.2% to 47.4%). And their Nevada average has Laxalt with a +1.9 edge (47% to 45.1%) and Lombardo +1.8 (46.5% to 44.7%).