Final OH poll: Vance up eight over Ryan, 51/43

The final Emerson College Polling survey of the Ohio Midterm Elections finds 51% of voters support Republican JD Vance for US Senate, while 43% support Democrat Tim Ryan. Four percent are undecided. With undecided voters’ support accounted for, Vance’s support increases to 53% and Ryan to 44%. Since the October Ohio poll, Vance has gained five percentage points and Ryan has lost two. Regardless of whom they support, 56% expect Vance to win while 44% expect Ryan to be elected.

Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling, said: “In mid-October, men were breaking for Vance by 13 points and women for Ryan by ten points. In the past few weeks, Vance has expanded his lead among men to 18 points over Ryan, leading 57% to 39%, and Ryan’s lead among women has diminished to one point, leading 47% to 46%.”

In the gubernatorial election, 55% plan to support incumbent Republican Mike DeWine, while 34% support Nan Whaley. Seven percent are undecided. Since October’s poll, DeWine has gained five percentage points, from 50% to 55%, while Whaley has lost two points, from 36% to 34%.