Breaking: Oz up 1 in PA, 47.6/46.6 -- thanks to debate

Dr. Oz Reverses 5-Point Fetterman Lead from August SPR Poll, Now Leads 47.6% to 46.6%.
The race for Pennsylvania’s open Senate seat is now a 1-point race, with Republican Mehmet Oz leading Democrat John Fetterman 47.6% to 46.6%. One percent of likely voters chose another candidate while an additional 4% are still undecided. When undecided voters who are “leaning” toward a candidate are included, Oz leads 48.7% to 48.1%.Both margins are well within the poll’s +/-3.7% margin of error.

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Oz is currently benefiting from late momentum from a successful TV debate performance last week against Fetterman. In the poll, among voters who say they were influenced by the TV performance of the candidates (138 of the 700n, or 20%), Oz leads 69:24. Moreover, voters who say they have made up their minds on a candidate in the last 7 days are breaking for Oz 68:32. This makes sense given Fetterman’s early lead over Oz after the divisive GOP primary. Some in the media have suggested the debate was a non-issue, but this poll suggests otherwise.

The current political climate continues to favor Oz, while voters galvanized on the abortion issue favor Fetterman.

[No one who watched that debate could have concluded that Fetterman was capable of handling the office. I’d expect that to resonate more as Election Day gets closer. — Ed]

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