Trafalgar: GOP generic ballot lead now 5.3 points

The poll found that of the 1,079 likely general election voter respondents, 48.2 percent would vote for the generic Republican candidate, while 42.9 percent would vote for the Democrat candidate. …

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The president only has 39.1 percent approval, while suffering from 55.7 percent disapproval. Of those who disapproved, 49.9 percent said they “strongly” disapproved. Only 5.2 percent said they had no opinion.

[Don’t forget that the generic-ballot question has structural advantages for Democrats, and that anything less than a D+5 usually means a bad cycle for them. — Ed]

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