An Emerson College Polling/The Hill poll of Ohio voters finds Republican JD Vance with a four-point lead over Democrat Tim Ryan, leading 44% to 40% in the race for U.S. Senate. Thirteen percent remain undecided, and 3% plan to vote for someone else. The August Emerson College Polling survey of Ohio voters found Vance up three points over Ryan, 45% to 42%.

Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling, said, “Independent voters favor JD Vance by a two-point margin, 51% of which name the economy as their most important issue. Additionally, a stark gender divide exists on the Senate ballot, reflective of other Senate polling this cycle. Men break for Vance by 19 points, whereas women break for Ryan by eight points.” …

In the gubernatorial election, half of voters (50%) support incumbent Republican Mike DeWine while a third (33%) support Democratic Nan Whaley. Twelve percent are undecided and 5% plan to support someone else. Since August, DeWine has gained one point and Whaley has held her third of support.

“Unlike the Republican candidate for the Senate election, Mike DeWine is not only winning the support of men two-to-one with 54% of their vote, but more importantly, he also leads Nan Whaley amongst women, 47% to 38%. Without the support of Ohio women voters, Whaley’s success is unlikely,” explained Kimball.