Molinaro has a good chance of flipping the seat in the November rematch, thanks to the roughly 170,000 voters who will join the red wave that will hit the country at the midterms, says pollster Rich Baris, Director of Big Data Poll, whose prescient forecasts have earned him the nickname “people’s pundit.”
The real tale of NY19, he says, is that Republicans have an enthusiasm deficit “in all these races where Donald Trump is not involved . . . The party is not ready to leave Donald Trump . . . If Republicans were able to do this on their own, without Daddy — a Daddy they resent by the way — having to drag them over the finish line,” they wouldn’t need Trump.
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and his House counterpart Kevin McCarthy “don’t inspire anybody,” Baris said.
“The Republican Party is in an identity crisis,” Baris said. “They’re not capturing the anger of the views that we’re seeing in the Republican base. It’s hard to talk about inflation when you send 50 billion to Ukraine. People are saying, ‘What about me?’”
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