How the FBI search revived Trump

Isabel: If Trump gets indicted, what does that mean for 2024 contenders?

Elaine: The people I talked with about that question—specifically about DeSantis, but I think you can extend it—said that we’re seeing a small glimpse of what would happen if Trump is indicted. If he’s actually indicted, it’s going to be more circling the wagons, more “The leftists are coming for us and they’re coming for you too” kind of language. At some point, candidates like DeSantis will have to make a decision: Are we going to jump in the primary and challenge him or not? An indictment would make it way less likely that they would. They wouldn’t want to be seen as opposing the great leader in his hour of need.

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Democrats really want Trump to be prosecuted. Politically, that might be the worst-case scenario as far as solidifying support for Trump. Although you could also argue that Trump is the best candidate for Democrats to run against in 2024, because he’s just so polarizing. You can look at it all kinds of ways. But my prediction is that an indictment means that Trump will almost certainly be the nominee.

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