On the other hand, the current polling is, in some ways, reminiscent of what occurred during the 2016 presidential election. Nearly 20% of the electorate did not look favorably on both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. Trump won this group by nearly 20 points and, with them, the election.

When you look at the voters who are backing Democratic congressional candidates but don’t like Biden, the current numbers actually make a lot of sense.

These voters overwhelmingly lean Democratic (85%) when asked about their party identification. They’re also overwhelmingly young (79% are under the age of 50).

The latter of which is consistent with something I noticed earlier this cycle. Biden’s favorable rating among those under 50 is shockingly low (32%) given that younger voters are usually part of the Democratic base.

Yet, these same voters are going 48% to 39% for Democrats on the generic ballot.