A divided America can still lead the west

Exactly how the American empire manages to survive the problems at home is hard to pinpoint. It helps that voters are so indifferent to foreign affairs, a subject that almost never decides federal elections. This lack of interest is too often assumed to be a drag on US power. In fact, it liberates the nation’s (geo) political class to operate in relative calm. On healthcare and crime, politicians must pander to their half of a riven electorate. On foreign matters, there is nothing like the same passion to satiate or exploit. Reinforcing this barrier between “high” and “low” politics is a constitution that cloisters foreign policy from the domestic. Even a president who cannot get a bill through Congress has wide latitude as commander-in-chief of history’s mightiest armed forces.

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The result is a highly “sticky” empire. Except through the pressure of bankruptcy — see postwar Britain — it is extraordinarily hard to pare back a global web of military bases and security guarantees, once it is woven. Bureaucratic inertia, logistical nuisance, vested interests and national ego make sure of that. Donald Trump, who never saw a foreign commitment he didn’t begrudge, achieved no meaningful cut in America’s global presence in four years as president.

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